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Population Projections

Population Projections

Population projections were released by Ontario’s Ministry of Finance (MOF) in the summer of 2023. The projections are an estimate of population growth for the province that help Ontario ministries, municipalities and other users plan and provide future services. Projections are based on assumptions about births, deaths and immigration and relocation over the projection time frame. The assumptions used by MOF are based on the study of past trends, as well as expectations for the future. Projections at the county or district level are for the “most likely to occur" scenario.


Ontario Ministry of Finance distributed by Ontario Ministry of Health, IntelliHealth Ontario

Data Notes:

  • The base population for the projections is taken from Statistics Canada’s 2022 population estimates (released in January 2023 and based on the 2016 Census).

Data Used in the Following Dashboards:  

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